Following our earlier outlook on Charli XCX’s upcoming chart performance, prediction markets have now repriced expectations sharply downward over the last few sessions. This move gives us both a clean update opportunity and a stronger entry point going forward. When we first built our positions, the market was trading closer to the 28k sales expectation range . Since then, contracts have sold off and the implied expectation has fallen closer to 21k , a roughly 25% drop in pri

Last updated:  February 4, 2026 — 10:30 PM PT (This article will be actively updated as Kalshi market odds move.) Prediction markets are already trading expectations for Bruno Mars’ upcoming album The Romantic , and pricing on Kalshi offers an early look at how traders expect the album to perform in its debut week. Unlike Billboard headlines that combine streaming and album-equivalent units, Kalshi markets focus strictly on actual album sales thresholds , allowing traders to

Prediction markets are currently pricing cautious expectations for J. Cole’s upcoming album The Fall Off . Understanding how these markets work reveals a practical trading angle. Contracts on Kalshi resolve using pure album sales , not streaming-equivalent units. That means only actual album purchases count — physical and digital copies — not streams. Once framed correctly, a clear strategy emerges: ✅ 60K pure sales looks like a logical statistical floor 📈 Upside toward 80K–